Latest topics
» Torn between getting some games
by BaltRavensFan20 January 3rd 2016, 9:22 pm

» Week 17
by HurpDurpHurray January 3rd 2016, 5:07 pm

» Week 16 Merry Christmas Week
by Willbacker December 30th 2015, 5:57 pm

» Found MaddMatt
by MaddMatter December 30th 2015, 12:02 am

» Fantasy 2015-16
by BaltRavensFan20 December 27th 2015, 4:51 pm

» Week 15 i think lol
by HurpDurpHurray December 25th 2015, 7:29 pm

» League of Denial
by EPICxPENGUIN69 December 19th 2015, 8:26 pm

» Fixing College Football
by MaddMatter December 16th 2015, 11:36 pm

» Week whatever/ The last quarter
by Willbacker December 15th 2015, 10:21 am

» Mike Pettine
by EPICxPENGUIN69 December 14th 2015, 8:11 pm

NFL Countdown

Is Vegas Actually Smart?

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Is Vegas Actually Smart?

Post  MaddMatter on October 25th 2014, 4:40 pm

So looking back at this:
http://www.sportsworldforums.com/t4108-nfl-odds-through-week-16?highlight=odds

I thought it would be interesting to see how accurate Vegas was. I'm not worrying about point spreads because of injuries and things like that

Arizona:
Favored to win 7 games
Favored Wins: San Diego, Washington, Oakland
Underdog Wins: New York Giants, San Francisco
Vegas: 4-2

Atlanta:
Favored to win 7 games.
Favored Wins: New Orleans, Tampa Bay
Vegas: 5-2

Baltimore:
Favored to win 7 games.
Favored Wins: Pittsburgh, Carolina, Atlanta
Underdog Wins: Cleveland, Tampa Bay
Vegas:4-3

Buffalo:
Favored to win 6 games
Favored Wins:Miami, Minnesota
Underdog Wins: Chicago, Detroit
Vegas: 4-3

Carolina:
Favored to win 9 games
Favored Wins: Tampa Bay, Detroit, Chicago
Vegas: 5-1-1

Chicago:
Favored to win 8 games:
Favored Wins: None
Underdog Wins: San Francisco, New York Jets, Atlanta
Vegas: 2-5

Cincinnati:
Favored to win 8 games:
Favored Wins: Atlanta, Tennessee
Underdog Wins: Baltimore
Vegas: 4-1-1

Cleveland:
Favored to win 4 games
Favored wins: None
Underdog Wins: New Orleans, Tennessee, Pittsburgh
Vegas: 2-4

Dallas:
Favored to win 8 games
Favored Wins: Tennessee, Houston, NY Giants
Underdog Wins: St. Louis, New Orleans, Seattle
Vegas: 4-3

Denver:
Favored to win 13 games
Favored Wins: Indy, KC, Arizona, NY Jets, San Francisco, San Diego
Underdog Wins: None
Vegas: 7-0

Detroit:
Favored to win 10 games
Favored wins: NY Giants, NY Jets, Minnesota, New Orleans
Underdog wins: Green Bay
Vegas: 5-2

Green Bay:
Favored to win 12 games
Favored Wins:NY Jets, Minnesota, Miami, Carolina
Underdog Wins: Chicago
Vegas: 5-2

Houston:
Favored to win 7 games
Favored wins: Washington, Oakland, Buffalo
Underdog wins: None
Vegas: 6-1

Indy:
Favored to win 10 games
Favored Wins: Jacksonville, Tennessee, Baltimore, Cincinnati
Underdog wins: Houston
Vegas: 5-2

Jacksonville:
Favored to win 0 games
Favored wins: None
Underdog wins: Cleveland
Vegas: 6-1

Kansas City:
Favored to win 7 games
Favored Wins: New England
Underdog Wins: Miami, San Diego
Vegas: 3-3

Miami:
Favored to win 5 games
Favored wins: Oakland
Underdog Wins: New England, Chicago
Vegas: 4-2

Minnesota:
Favored to win 2 games
Favored wins: None
Underdog wins: St. Louis, Atlanta
Vegas: 5-2  


New England:
Favored to win 12 games
Favored wins: Minnesota, Oakland, Cincinnati, Buffalo, NY Jets,  
Underdog wins:None
Vegas:6-1

New Orleans Saints:
Favored to win 9 games
Favored wins: Minnesota, Tampa Bay
Underdog wins: None
Vegas: 5-1

New York Giants:
Favored to win 8 games
Favored wins: Houston, Atlanta
Underdog wins: Washington
Vegas: 5-2

New York Jets:
Favored to win 3 games
Favored wins: Oakland
Underdog wins: None
Vegas: 7-0

Oakland Raiders:
Favored to win 0 games
Favored wins: None
Underdog wins: None:
Vegas: 6-0

Philadelphia Eagles:
Favored to win 8 games
Favored wins: Jacksonville, Washington, St. Louis, NY Giants
Underdog wins: Indy
Vegas: 5-1

Pittsburgh Steelers:
Favored to win 10 games
Favored wins: Cleveland, Jacksonville, Houston
Underdog wins: Carolina
Vegas: 5-2

San Diego Chargers:
Favored to win 6 games
Favored wins: Jacksonville, Jets, Oakland
Underdog wins: Seattle, Buffalo
Vegas:5-3

San Francisco 49ers:
Favored to win 12 games
Favored wins: Dallas, Philly, KC, St. Louis
Underdog wins: None
Vegas: 5-2

Seattle Seahawks
Favored to win 14 games:
Favored wins: Green Bay, Denver, Washington
Underdog wins: None
Vegas: 3-3

St Louis Rams
Favored to win 4 games
Favored wins: None
Underdog wins: Tampa Bay, Seattle
Vegas: 3-3

Tampa Bay Bucs:
Favored to win 3 games
Favored wins: None
Underdog wins: Pittsburgh
Vegas: 4-2

Tennessee Titans
Favored to win 4 games
Favored wins: Jacksonville
Underdog wins: Kansas City
Vegas: 5-2

Washington Redskins
Favored to win 5 games
Favored wins: Jacksonville, Tennessee
Underdog wins: None
Vegas: 6-1


Through week 7 and the Thursday night game Vegas is:
Overall: 150-62

So Vegas is hitting on 70% of their picks, straight up. That's pretty damn good for odds coming out in May.

The only team Vegas really overrated is the Bears. Seahawks were overrated because they were favored 14 times in their first 15 games.  Kind of crazy to see how accurate Vegas is.

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
[19:59:55] @ HurpDurpHurray : more jags fans at the draft party than a game lol

KAMEHAMEHA BITCHES!
avatar
MaddMatter

Posts : 7545
Street Cred : 125
Join date : 2011-04-08

http://www.sportsworldforums.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Is Vegas Actually Smart?

Post  MaddMatter on October 26th 2014, 8:50 am

EPICxPENGUIN69 wrote:
People in vegas don't know anything. They basically have a giant sheet of odds saying "if team x does this with this then y should be the result" they aren't using logic.

Maybe they do Epic.

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
[19:59:55] @ HurpDurpHurray : more jags fans at the draft party than a game lol

KAMEHAMEHA BITCHES!
avatar
MaddMatter

Posts : 7545
Street Cred : 125
Join date : 2011-04-08

http://www.sportsworldforums.com

Back to top Go down

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum